Real estate: second-tier city monkey year or warm spring

Abstract Just before the fifth day of the Lunar New Year, Yang Xi, who lives in Taiyuan, began his house tour. At 9:30 to the sales office, some buyers have come to consult. The sales staff of Evergrande Washington said that in the past years, the projects that opened in the first seven days or even the first month of the first month, many of the choices this year are normally open during the Spring Festival...
Just after the fifth day of the Lunar New Year, Yang Xi, who lives in Taiyuan, began to watch the house. At 9:30 to the sales office, some buyers have come to consult. The sales staff of Evergrande Washington said that in the past year, the projects that opened in the first seven days or even the first month of the first month have been opened. This year, many choices are normally open during the Spring Festival, and some are only closed on New Year’s Eve, the first day and the second day.
Although the property market in 2016 was not open, it was significantly better than 2015. According to the latest data from the China Index Academy, more than half of the transactions in the representative cities during the Spring Festival increased year-on-year. Among the 15 cities monitored, the transaction volume increased by 6.9% compared with the 2015 Spring Festival, and 8 of them increased and the growth rate was obvious. Among the cities with increasing transaction volume, Wuhan ranked first, with an increase of more than 100%, and Shaoguan and Sanya increased by 45.1% and 42.1% respectively.
“The performance of the Spring Festival is not cold, and the 3rd and 4th lines are not hot.” ​​Zhang Dawei, the director of the Central Plains real estate market, believes that first- and second-tier cities are still hot, including major cities such as Beijing, Shenzhen, Shanghai, Nanjing, etc., due to the rapid increase in 2015, the market is close to no. The situation in which the room is available for sale, in which case many developers have a longer holiday, resulting in the first-line cities during the Spring Festival are basically on vacation. Second-tier cities are relatively hot spring festivals in the Year of the Monkey. Buyers will continue to actively enter the market before the Spring Festival after the Spring Festival. The demand for returning homes in some first-tier cities and the demand for resources in the third- and fourth-tier cities are supporting the high temperatures in second-tier cities. It is expected that the real estate market in 2016 will mainly look at second-tier cities.
“The third- and fourth-tier cities have not been stimulated by the new policies before the holiday. The returning home buyers have not increased compared with the same period of last year. From the data, the signing of the third- and fourth-tier cities compared with the 2015 Spring Festival has not increased significantly, although the projects in the third- and fourth-tier cities during the holiday period are active. Marketing, but the current New Deal is not very stimulating for returning home buyers. Lowering the payment threshold has increased the monthly supply pressure in disguise. There are still more stimulus policies, such as lowering the purchase tax and lowering the monthly interest rate. Zhang Dawei said.
It is understood that after the Spring Festival, many local governments will also introduce a series of real estate loosening policies. Taking Gansu as an example, the previous 2016 provincial housing and urban construction work conference pointed out that some cities and states in Gansu have serious inventory problems and will guide developers to appropriately reduce housing prices.
The Gansu Provincial Department of Housing and Construction requires all cities and states to work with relevant departments to find out the real estate inventory base, adapt to local conditions, and measure according to the amount. In digesting real estate inventory, through the reduction and exemption of transaction link taxes and fees, the promotion of reasonable demand for no-room to housing and small housing for large houses will be promoted; full use will be made to improve the monetization rate of shantytowns and guide residents to purchase their own housing. Develop the housing leasing market, establish a housing system that combines rent and rent; accelerate the urbanization of migrant workers, and let the social subjects have the willingness to buy a house. Guide development companies to adjust marketing strategies in accordance with market rules, appropriately reduce the price of commercial housing, and solve the inventory problem by both demand and supply. Further expand the coverage of the housing provident fund system, gradually include eligible migrant workers and individual industrial and commercial households into the housing provident fund system, and play the role of housing security function, and encourage migrant workers and individual industrial and commercial households to make full use of housing provident fund loans to purchase houses and achieve housing. Expand housing demand and support the stable and healthy development of the housing consumption market.
Anhui Province recently said that in 2016, the proportion of monetization resettlement in the province should reach 50% or more, and strive to reach 70%. Promote the monetization of public rental housing, and indeed need to increase the supply of public rental housing, mainly through long-term lease or purchase in the market. Accelerate the allocation of public rental housing and dilute public rental housing. At the same time, it will deepen the reform of the housing system, encourage farmers to buy houses in the city, and support institutional investors to invest in rental housing. The city's flexible employment personnel will be included in the housing provident fund system, the housing accumulation fund will be voluntarily deposited, and the right to withdraw loans will be enjoyed.
In Shanxi, at the meeting on housing and urban construction and party style and clean government construction held recently, it was pointed out that seven policies will be adopted to go to commercial housing stocks, including expanding housing demand groups to speed up the process of urbanization of migrant workers, and ensuring that newly settled residents enjoy the same education and employment. Such basic urban public services provide guarantees for migrant workers to enter the city to purchase houses. It also studies and formulates the subsidy policy for housing purchases, encourages migrant workers who go to school to go to school, get married, and provide for housing to buy houses in cities and counties, and promote migrant workers and other personnel to purchase commercial housing in the place of employment.
In addition, the commercial housing and the security room will be opened. For cities and counties with large commodity housing stocks and long digestion cycle, it is necessary to solve the problem of shantytowns, urban villages and old towns to renovate the original household resettlement houses and agricultural transfer population rental houses through monetary resettlement and government repurchase of commercial houses. No new housing can be built.
At the same time, actively develop cross-border real estate. Cities and counties with large real estate inventories may, according to the application of real estate development enterprises, modify the relevant contents of urban planning according to law, and adjust the supply of land that has been supplied but not developed or commercial commercial land to cross-border such as cultural tourism, sports, parks and pensions. Real estate land, while developing the existing stock housing into other real estate, promoting real estate cross-border development. And guide real estate development companies to appropriately reduce housing prices.
Shanxi will also adapt the market rules to real estate development companies and adjust marketing strategies to appropriately reduce housing prices. We must give incentives to take the lead in implementing national policies and reducing the sales price of commercial housing.

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